Chatgpt Predictions & Odds· 298 markets

ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$25k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ended

18%

Yes

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$45k Vol.
$5k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months

22%

Yes

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$3k Vol.
$441 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

36%

Yes

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$18k Vol.
$943 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months

56%

60%+

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours

3%

Yes

ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

$815 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 15 days

85%

April 15

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$354 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

8%

Yes

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

$1k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 15 days

77%

April 15

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$358k Vol.
$35k Liq.
40
Ended

82%

December 31, 2026

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

$15k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours

99%

ChatGPT

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours

93%

Claude by Anthropic

Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

$71k Vol.
$245k Liq.
🔥$71k today
Ends in about 7 hours

50%

MINLATE

Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stage

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stage

$300 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours

66%

Leo Team

ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

March 25

ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

March 21

ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours

March 19

ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours

April 15

ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ends in about 11 hours

March 15