Chatgpt Predictions & Odds· 113 markets
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$45k Vol.
$5k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$5k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$3k Vol.
$481 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$3k Vol.$481 Liq.1Ends in 3 months
36%
Yes
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$18k Vol.
$957 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$18k Vol.$957 Liq.4Ends in 3 months
56%
60%+
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
$13k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
3%
Yes
ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$752 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$752 Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 16 days
90%
April 15
8%
Yes
82%
December 31, 2026
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$894 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$894 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 16 days
77%
April 15
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
$14k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
$14k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
98%
ChatGPT
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
$5k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
92%
Claude by Anthropic
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$5k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?
$66k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$66k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in 9 months
61%
↑ 1550
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
$70k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$70k Vol.$28k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$12k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$12k Vol.$57k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Anthropic
Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$999k Vol.
$111k Liq.
1
Ends in about 15 hours
$999k Vol.$111k Liq.1Ends in about 15 hours
98%
Anthropic
Which company has the second best AI model end of April?
$12k Vol.
$103k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$12k Vol.$103k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
80%
Anthropic
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$800k Vol.
$137k Liq.
🔥$159k today
Ends in about 1 month
$800k Vol.🔥$159k today$137k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
83%
Anthropic
Which company has the best AI model end of April?
$2.7m Vol.
$449k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$2.7m Vol.$449k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
89%
Anthropic
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$9k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes