Chatgpt Predictions & Odds· 298 markets
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$45k Vol.
$5k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$5k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$3k Vol.
$450 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$3k Vol.$450 Liq.1Ends in 3 months
36%
Yes
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$18k Vol.
$957 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$18k Vol.$957 Liq.4Ends in 3 months
56%
60%+
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$13k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
3%
Yes
ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$782 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$782 Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 16 days
87%
April 15
8%
Yes
82%
December 31, 2026
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$894 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$894 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 16 days
77%
April 15
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$15k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
98%
ChatGPT
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$5k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
94%
Claude by Anthropic
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs SportsBetExpert (BO3) - PGL Astana: North American Open Qualifier #1 Playoffs
$0 Vol.
$5 Liq.
Ended
$0 Vol.$5 Liq.Ended
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage
$90 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$90 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
39%
MINLATE
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stage
$300 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
$300 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
66%
Leo Team
ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$0 Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
March 27
March 25
ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$22k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
$22k Vol.$0 Liq.1Ended
March 21
ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$0 Vol.$0 Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
March 19
April 15
ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ends in about 13 hours
$1k Vol.$0 Liq.1Ends in about 13 hours
March 15