Clima Predictions & Odds· 151 markets
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
$38k Vol.
$19k Liq.
8
Ends in 12 months
$38k Vol.$19k Liq.8Ends in 12 months
12%
Yes
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
$4.0m Vol.
$168k Liq.
🔥$60k today
171
Ends in over 1 year
$4.0m Vol.🔥$60k today$168k Liq.171Ends in over 1 year
63%
Other
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7.5m Vol.
$32k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7.5m Vol.$32k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
97%
↑2k
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$28k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$1.1m Vol.$28k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
28%
14–16
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
$1.8m Vol.
$84k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
$1.8m Vol.$84k Liq.22Ends in 3 months
67%
8+
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
$1.2m Vol.
$82k Liq.
18
Ends in over 1 year
$1.2m Vol.$82k Liq.18Ends in over 1 year
40%
Goldman Sachs
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$2.4m Vol.
$112k Liq.
20
Ends in 9 months
$2.4m Vol.$112k Liq.20Ends in 9 months
45%
2
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$904k Vol.
$122k Liq.
18
Ends in over 1 year
$904k Vol.$122k Liq.18Ends in over 1 year
93%
>$1T
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)
$2.9m Vol.
$223k Liq.
43
Ends in over 1 year
$2.9m Vol.$223k Liq.43Ends in over 1 year
94%
1T+
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
$652k Vol.
$97k Liq.
9
Ends in over 1 year
$652k Vol.$97k Liq.9Ends in over 1 year
47%
2.0T+
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$530k Vol.
$20k Liq.
27
Ends in 9 months
$530k Vol.$20k Liq.27Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
Human moon landing in 2026?
$1.9m Vol.
$34k Liq.
24
Ends in 9 months
$1.9m Vol.$34k Liq.24Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
$112k Vol.
$5k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$112k Vol.$5k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
74%
Yes
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$116k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$116k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$668k Vol.
$15k Liq.
10
Ends in 12 months
$668k Vol.$15k Liq.10Ends in 12 months
43%
1