Clima Predictions & Odds· 151 markets
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
$38k Vol.
$19k Liq.
8
Ends in about 1 year
$38k Vol.$19k Liq.8Ends in about 1 year
12%
Yes
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
$3.9m Vol.
$174k Liq.
🔥$62k today
170
Ends in almost 2 years
$3.9m Vol.🔥$62k today$174k Liq.170Ends in almost 2 years
63%
Other
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7.5m Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7.5m Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in 9 months
98%
↑2k
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$26k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$1.1m Vol.$26k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
28%
14–16
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)
$2.9m Vol.
$216k Liq.
42
Ends in almost 2 years
$2.9m Vol.$216k Liq.42Ends in almost 2 years
94%
1T+
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
$1.8m Vol.
$94k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
$1.8m Vol.$94k Liq.22Ends in 3 months
68%
8+
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
$1.2m Vol.
$83k Liq.
18
Ends in almost 2 years
$1.2m Vol.$83k Liq.18Ends in almost 2 years
41%
Goldman Sachs
94%
April 30
Precipitation in Seattle in March?
$329k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$329k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
86%
5-6"
Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?
$391k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$391k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
0%
1600
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
$652k Vol.
$90k Liq.
9
Ends in almost 2 years
$652k Vol.$90k Liq.9Ends in almost 2 years
47%
2.0T+
Precipitation in NYC in March?
$176k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$176k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
90%
3-4"
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$171k Vol.
$8k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$171k Vol.$8k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$530k Vol.
$30k Liq.
26
Ends in 9 months
$530k Vol.$30k Liq.26Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$116k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$116k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$666k Vol.
$17k Liq.
9
Ends in about 1 year
$666k Vol.$17k Liq.9Ends in about 1 year
43%
1
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$2.4m Vol.
$105k Liq.
20
Ends in 9 months
$2.4m Vol.$105k Liq.20Ends in 9 months
45%
2
Human moon landing in 2026?
$1.9m Vol.
$34k Liq.
24
Ends in 9 months
$1.9m Vol.$34k Liq.24Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
$112k Vol.
$5k Liq.
5
Ends in 10 months
$112k Vol.$5k Liq.5Ends in 10 months
73%
Yes