Commericals Predictions & Odds· 126 markets
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$114k Liq.
🔥$177k today
122
Ends in about 11 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$177k today$114k Liq.122Ends in about 11 hours
28%
April 30
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$637k Vol.
$128k Liq.
🔥$391k today
15
Ends in about 1 month
$637k Vol.🔥$391k today$128k Liq.15Ends in about 1 month
34%
United States
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
$9.1m Vol.
$155k Liq.
264
Ends in 9 months
$9.1m Vol.$155k Liq.264Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?
$15k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$15k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
59%
<2
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
$933k Vol.
$77k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$933k Vol.$77k Liq.Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
$82k Vol.
$35k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
$82k Vol.$35k Liq.4Ends in about 1 month
60%
April 30
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$98k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$98k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
4%
March 31
How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?
$64k Vol.
$35k Liq.
2
Ends in about 11 hours
$64k Vol.$35k Liq.2Ends in about 11 hours
98%
<5
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$44k Vol.
$12k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$44k Vol.$12k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
19%
Yes
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
$6k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$6k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$414 Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$414 Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
17%
April 5
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?
$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
Politics
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?
$0 Vol.
$226 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$226 Liq.Ends in 9 months
48%
Yes
46%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?
$74k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
70%
↓ 0.0014
What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?
$889 Vol.
$710 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$889 Vol.$710 Liq.Ends in 1 day
48%
↓ 42000
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
$595k Vol.
$35k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$595k Vol.$35k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
17%
↑ $4
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility