Cornyn Predictions & Odds· 124 markets

Texas Senate Election Matchup

Texas Senate Election Matchup

$638k Vol.
$88k Liq.
4
Ended

64%

Talarico & Paxton

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

$40k Vol.
$83k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months

36%

Paxton 9%+

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

$5k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

5%

Yes

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

38%

0.6–0.9M

Nothing Ever Happens: March

Nothing Ever Happens: March

$295k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ended

75%

Nothing

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

$13.1m Vol.
$253k Liq.
🔥$76k today
1
Ends in about 2 months

63%

Ken Paxton

Who will Trump endorse?

Who will Trump endorse?

$110k Vol.
$8k Liq.
6
Ends in 7 months

67%

Ken Paxton - TX-Sen

Texas Senate Election Winner

Texas Senate Election Winner

$159k Vol.
$65k Liq.
7
Ends in 7 months

56%

Republican

Ted Cruz # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Ted Cruz # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

$5k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 8 days

41%

100-119

NE-01 House Election Winner

NE-01 House Election Winner

$4k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

77%

Republican Party

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

27%

≤47

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

$90k Vol.
$29k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months

75%

Republican

White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

$12k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 8 days

36%

160-179

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months

82%

Yes

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$53k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 4 days

41%

160-179

TX-19 House Election Winner

TX-19 House Election Winner

$2k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

93%

Republican Party

Ted Cruz # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

Ted Cruz # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

$43k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours

95%

100-119

DE-AL House Election Winner

DE-AL House Election Winner

$0 Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

93%

Democratic Party

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

$57k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months

2%

Yes

TX-01 House Election Winner

TX-01 House Election Winner

$0 Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

93%

Republican Party