Cornyn Predictions & Odds· 124 markets

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
$40k Vol.
$83k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$40k Vol.$83k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
36%
Paxton 9%+

Will Ken Paxton drop out?
$5k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$5k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
5%
Yes

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff
$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$4k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
38%
0.6–0.9M

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner
$13.1m Vol.
$253k Liq.
🔥$76k today
1
Ends in about 2 months
$13.1m Vol.🔥$76k today$253k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
63%
Ken Paxton

67%
Ken Paxton - TX-Sen

Texas Senate Election Winner
$159k Vol.
$65k Liq.
7
Ends in 7 months
$159k Vol.$65k Liq.7Ends in 7 months
56%
Republican

Ted Cruz # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$5k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$5k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 8 days
41%
100-119

77%
Republican Party

27%
≤47

Nebraska Senate Election Winner
$90k Vol.
$29k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$90k Vol.$29k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
75%
Republican

White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$12k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$12k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in 8 days
36%
160-179

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$6k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$53k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$53k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 4 days
41%
160-179

93%
Republican Party

Ted Cruz # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$43k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$43k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
95%
100-119

93%
Democratic Party

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$57k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$57k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
2%
Yes

93%
Republican Party
