Country Policies Predictions & Odds· 106 markets
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?
$7k Vol.
$946 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$946 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
61%
December 31, 2026
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$102k Vol.
$23k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$23k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
X
X banned in any European country by December 31?
$300 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$300 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
H
Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$1.3m Vol.
$158k Liq.
🔥$82k today
Ends in 9 days
$1.3m Vol.🔥$82k today$158k Liq.Ends in 9 days
48%
Tisza 9%+
#
# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
$21k Vol.
$41k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$21k Vol.$41k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
41%
3
B
Bulgaria Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory
$20k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$20k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 16 days
45%
PB 5-10%
W
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
$195k Vol.
$48k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$195k Vol.$48k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
#
# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?
$21k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$21k Vol.$27k Liq.Ends in 2 months
55%
10+
H
Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP % of popular vote
$36k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
$36k Vol.$49k Liq.Ends in 9 days
28%
40-44%
H
Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Higher Strikes for Tisza)
$3k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
$3k Vol.$36k Liq.Ends in 9 days
32%
Tisza <9%
B
Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
$16k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$16k Vol.$52k Liq.Ends in 16 days
79%
PP–DB
P
Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$8k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
$8k Vol.$60k Liq.Ends in 9 days
47%
Keiko Fujimori 5%+
S
South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner
$2k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$2k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 2 months
96%
Democratic Party of Korea (DP)
E
Daniel Noboa (ADN)
T
Lai Ching-te (賴清德)
G
John Mahama
