Country Policies Predictions & Odds· 106 markets
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?
$7k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$1k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
71%
December 31, 2026
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$102k Vol.
$20k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$20k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
X
X banned in any European country by December 31?
$0 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
W
Will any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?
$48k Vol.
$21k Liq.
2
Ended
$48k Vol.$21k Liq.2Ended
0%
Yes
H
Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$1.3m Vol.
$182k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
$1.3m Vol.$182k Liq.Ends in 11 days
40%
Tisza 9%+
#
# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
$21k Vol.
$46k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$21k Vol.$46k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
44%
3
B
Bulgaria Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory
$19k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 18 days
$19k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 18 days
44%
PB 5-10%
W
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
$195k Vol.
$51k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$195k Vol.$51k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
#
# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?
$21k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$21k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in 2 months
55%
10+
H
Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP % of popular vote
$35k Vol.
$74k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
$35k Vol.$74k Liq.Ends in 11 days
28%
40-44%
H
Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Higher Strikes for Tisza)
$300 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
$300 Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 11 days
42%
Tisza <9%
B
Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
$15k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 18 days
$15k Vol.$37k Liq.Ends in 18 days
70%
PP–DB
P
Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$8k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
$8k Vol.$45k Liq.Ends in 11 days
39%
Keiko Fujimori 5%+
S
South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner
$474 Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$474 Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 2 months
89%
Democratic Party of Korea (DP)
E
Daniel Noboa (ADN)
T
Lai Ching-te (賴清德)
G
John Mahama