Country Policies Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

$7k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

71%

December 31, 2026

E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$102k Vol.
$20k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months

9%

Yes

X
X banned in any European country by December 31?

X banned in any European country by December 31?

$0 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

28%

Yes

W
Will any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?

0%

Yes

H
Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory

$1.3m Vol.
$182k Liq.
Ends in 11 days

40%

Tisza 9%+

#
# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?

# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?

$21k Vol.
$46k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months

44%

3

B
Bulgaria Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

Bulgaria Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

$19k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 18 days

44%

PB 5-10%

W
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

$195k Vol.
$51k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months

24%

Yes

#
# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

$21k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

55%

10+

H
Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP % of popular vote

Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP % of popular vote

$35k Vol.
$74k Liq.
Ends in 11 days

28%

40-44%

H
Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Higher Strikes for Tisza)

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Higher Strikes for Tisza)

$300 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 11 days

42%

Tisza <9%

B
Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

$15k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 18 days

70%

PP–DB

P
Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

$8k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 11 days

39%

Keiko Fujimori 5%+

S
South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner

South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner

$474 Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

89%

Democratic Party of Korea (DP)

W
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024?

Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024?

$338k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

R
Romania Parliamentary Election

Romania Parliamentary Election

$3.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
742
Ended

PSD

E
Ecuador Presidential Election

Ecuador Presidential Election

$4.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,324
Ended

Daniel Noboa (ADN)

T
Taiwan Presidential Election: Who will win?

Taiwan Presidential Election: Who will win?

$3.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
168
Ended

Lai Ching-te (賴清德)

G
Ghana Presidential Election

Ghana Presidential Election

$348k Vol.
$0 Liq.
43
Ended

John Mahama

C
Croatia Presidential Election

Croatia Presidential Election

$5.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
139
Ended

Zoran Milanović