Debt Predictions & Odds· 161 markets
U
Politics · Economy
US defaults on debt by 2027?
$15k Vol.
$26k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$15k Vol.$26k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
P
Politics · Economy
Peak US National Debt before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$20k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$20k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
94%
$40 trillion
A
Economy · Politics
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$3k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
30%
Yes
E
World · Economy
EU debt downgrade before 2027?
$824 Vol.
$230 Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$824 Vol.$230 Liq.2Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
A
Politics · Economy
Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?
$414 Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$414 Vol.$2k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
62%
Yes
O
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$102k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$9k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
5%
Yes
M
51%
Yes
W
Yes
D
No
W
All
Will the US debt ceiling be raised or suspended by October 18th?
$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$2k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
W
W
All
Will a US debt ceiling raise be enacted by December 15th?
$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$10k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
W
Business · China
Will Vanke default on debt by December 31?
$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
$6k Vol.$0 Liq.5Ended
No
P
$37 trillion
