Deficit Predictions & Odds· 127 markets

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

$1k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 11 months

34%

800–900B

Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

$0 Vol.
$553 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

44%

Yes

# of jobs Elon and DOGE cut in first 6 months?

# of jobs Elon and DOGE cut in first 6 months?

$1.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
57
Ended

50-100k

# of federal jobs cut in 2025?

# of federal jobs cut in 2025?

$757k Vol.
$0 Liq.
16
Ended

200k+

How much spending will DOGE cut in first 6 months?

How much spending will DOGE cut in first 6 months?

$2.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended

<$250b

How much spending will DOGE cut in 2025?

How much spending will DOGE cut in 2025?

$2.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
81
Ended

<$50B

How many Federal employees will accept buyout?

How many Federal employees will accept buyout?

$2.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
23
Ended

50-100k

Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025?

No

Will America be profitable any month in 2025?

Will America be profitable any month in 2025?

$44k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended

Yes

What will Trump say during National Agriculture Day events on March 27?

Farm / Farmer 15+ times

What will Trump say during Merz events on June 5?

What will Trump say during Merz events on June 5?

$551k Vol.
$0 Liq.
141
Ended

Germany 7+

What will Trump say during events with Carney on May 6?

What will Trump say during events with Carney on May 6?

$760k Vol.
$0 Liq.
92
Ended

Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times

What will Trump say during Meloni events on April 17?

What will Trump say during Meloni events on April 17?

$404k Vol.
$0 Liq.
33
Ended

Putin

What will Trump say during Tariff event on April 2?

What will Trump say during Tariff event on April 2?

$702k Vol.
$0 Liq.
205
Ended

AI / Artificial Intelligence

Trump pauses reciprocal tariffs on EU before Wednesday?

No

Will Trump lower tariffs on EU before July?

Will Trump lower tariffs on EU before July?

$13k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?

Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?

$11.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
752
Ended

Yes

Will courts block Trump's tariffs by Friday?

Will courts block Trump's tariffs by Friday?

$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

$22 Vol.
$0 Liq.
314
Ended

Up

Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
314
Ended

Down