Department Of Defense Predictions & Odds· 111 markets
T
60%
December 31
W
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$46k Vol.
$14k Liq.
3
Ends in 28 days
$46k Vol.$14k Liq.3Ends in 28 days
16%
Yes
1
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
$102k Vol.
$11k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$11k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
4%
Yes
M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$140k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$140k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
5
37%
Yes
1
7%
Yes
U
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$12k Liq.
78
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$12k Liq.78Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$43k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days
$43k Vol.$12k Liq.13Ends in 28 days
18%
April 30
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
$9k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$9k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
$73k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$73k Vol.$35k Liq.Ends in 28 days
3%
Yes
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$539k Vol.
$20k Liq.
🔥$128k today
172
$539k Vol.🔥$128k today$20k Liq.172
16%
Yes
M
51%
Yes
W
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$132k Vol.
$19k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$132k Vol.$19k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
M
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.5m Vol.
$432k Liq.
🔥$180k today
258
Ends in 3 months
$14.5m Vol.🔥$180k today$432k Liq.258Ends in 3 months
60%
>$600M
U
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
$26k Vol.
$22k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$26k Vol.$22k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$102k Vol.
$11k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$11k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
U
US announces military support of Kurds by...?
$494k Vol.
$27k Liq.
41
Ends in 28 days
$494k Vol.$27k Liq.41Ends in 28 days
7%
Yes
U
US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?
$237k Vol.
$10k Liq.
10
Ends in 28 days
$237k Vol.$10k Liq.10Ends in 28 days
8%
Yes