Department Of Defense Predictions & Odds· 113 markets
T
62%
December 31
W
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$46k Vol.
$14k Liq.
3
Ends in 28 days
$46k Vol.$14k Liq.3Ends in 28 days
16%
Yes
1
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$12k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
4%
Yes
M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$140k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$140k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
5
37%
Yes
1
7%
Yes
U
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$13k Liq.
78
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$13k Liq.78Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$42k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days
$42k Vol.$12k Liq.13Ends in 28 days
25%
April 30
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
$9k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$9k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
$628 Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$628 Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 9 months
25%
Yes
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$536k Vol.
$15k Liq.
🔥$131k today
170
$536k Vol.🔥$131k today$15k Liq.170
15%
Yes
M
52%
Yes
W
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$132k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$132k Vol.$19k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
M
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.5m Vol.
$430k Liq.
🔥$176k today
258
Ends in 3 months
$14.5m Vol.🔥$176k today$430k Liq.258Ends in 3 months
62%
>$600M
U
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
$26k Vol.
$24k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$26k Vol.$24k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$12k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
U
US announces military support of Kurds by...?
$494k Vol.
$32k Liq.
41
Ends in 28 days
$494k Vol.$32k Liq.41Ends in 28 days
7%
Yes
U
US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?
$237k Vol.
$17k Liq.
10
Ends in 28 days
$237k Vol.$17k Liq.10Ends in 28 days
8%
Yes