Disaster Predictions & Odds· 119 markets
N
30%
Yes
M
0%
Yes
N
Natural Disaster · Science
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
$329k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
$329k Vol.$2k Liq.1Ends in 2 months
26%
Yes
M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$140k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$140k Vol.$19k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
W
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
$11k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$11k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 2 months
3%
Yes
5
43%
Yes
M
Weather · earthquake
Megaquake by June 30?
$23k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$23k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 3 months
21%
Yes
W
Will a hurricane form by May 31?
$36k Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in 2 months
$36k Vol.$5k Liq.4Ends in 2 months
7%
Yes
M
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
$38k Vol.
$19k Liq.
8
Ends in 12 months
$38k Vol.$19k Liq.8Ends in 12 months
12%
Yes
A
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
$82k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$82k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 2 months
100%
March 31
H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
$1.8m Vol.
$109k Liq.
23
Ends in 3 months
$1.8m Vol.$109k Liq.23Ends in 3 months
67%
8+
H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$34k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$1.1m Vol.$34k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
28%
14–16
H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$675k Vol.
$16k Liq.
10
Ends in 12 months
$675k Vol.$16k Liq.10Ends in 12 months
43%
1
1
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$530k Vol.
$20k Liq.
27
Ends in 9 months
$530k Vol.$20k Liq.27Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
W
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$314k Vol.
$7k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
$314k Vol.$7k Liq.7Ends in 9 months
31%
Yes
9
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$172k Vol.
$8k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
$172k Vol.$8k Liq.7Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes
H
How many Tornadoes in the US in March?
$158k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in 10 days
$158k Vol.$19k Liq.1Ends in 10 days
100%
150+
H
Natural Disasters · Weather
How many Tornadoes in the US in April?
$647 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$647 Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
41%
290–319
H
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
$26k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$26k Vol.$15k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
41%
1250+
M
45%
Yes