Economic Policy Predictions & Odds· 146 markets
90%
No Change
ECB Interest Rates: April 2026
$214k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$214k Vol.$50k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
58%
No change
Bank of England decision in April?
$197k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$197k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
83%
No change
Bank of Brazil Decision in April?
$167k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 29 days
$167k Vol.$29k Liq.Ends in 29 days
73%
Decrease
US recession by end of 2026?
$916k Vol.
$92k Liq.
48
Ends in 10 months
$916k Vol.$92k Liq.48Ends in 10 months
37%
Yes
98%
No Change
Bank of Japan Decision in April?
$230k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 29 days
$230k Vol.$59k Liq.Ends in 29 days
69%
25 bps increase
Central Bank of Colombia Decision in March?
$162k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$162k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
99%
Increase
Bank of Mexico Decision in May
$4k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$4k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
83%
No change
Bank of Korea decision in May?
$10k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$10k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
68%
No Change
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in April?
$26k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$26k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 8 days
98%
No Change
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?
$12k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$12k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 3 months
58%
Increase
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in May?
$21k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$21k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
65%
Increase
95%
No Change
62%
No change
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
$10k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$10k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 30 days
44%
2
75%
Decrease
67%
25 bps Increase
50%
No change