Election Interference Predictions & Odds· 102 markets
T
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
$136k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$136k Vol.$12k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
27%
Yes
T
Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?
$966 Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$966 Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 28 days
90%
Yes
W
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?
$17k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$17k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
S
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
$24k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$24k Vol.$45k Liq.Ends in 4 months
69%
Yes
W
Will Trump nationalize elections?
$14k Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$14k Vol.$5k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
31%
Yes
2
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
$53k Vol.
$34k Liq.
19
Ends in 8 months
$53k Vol.$34k Liq.19Ends in 8 months
87%
Kuomintang (KMT)
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$207k Vol.
$71k Liq.
7
Ends in 6 months
$207k Vol.$71k Liq.7Ends in 6 months
41%
Lula da Silva <5%
T
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
$8k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$8k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
85%
Yes
T
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
$99k Vol.
$28k Liq.
57
Ended
$99k Vol.$28k Liq.57Ended
44%
59-60%
B
Bulgaria Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory
$20k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 17 days
$20k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in 17 days
45%
PB 5-10%
B
Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
$19k Vol.
$66k Liq.
Ends in 17 days
$19k Vol.$66k Liq.Ends in 17 days
94%
GERB-SDS
H
Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP % of popular vote
$36k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$36k Vol.$51k Liq.Ends in 10 days
28%
40-44%
B
Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
$15k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 17 days
$15k Vol.$57k Liq.Ends in 17 days
81%
PP–DB
B
Bulgaria Parliamentary Election Winner
$56k Vol.
$83k Liq.
4
Ends in 17 days
$56k Vol.$83k Liq.4Ends in 17 days
95%
PB
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$539k Vol.
$19k Liq.
🔥$128k today
173
$539k Vol.🔥$128k today$19k Liq.173
16%
Yes
M
51%
Yes