Election Interference Predictions & Odds· 102 markets
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
$136k Vol.
$14k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$136k Vol.$14k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
Nothing Ever Happens: March
$291k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$291k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
71%
Nothing
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?
$17k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$17k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?
$754 Vol.
$689 Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$754 Vol.$689 Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
1%
Yes
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
$15k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$15k Vol.$36k Liq.Ends in 4 months
68%
Yes
Will Trump nationalize elections?
$13k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$13k Vol.$11k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
$18k Vol.
$40k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months
$18k Vol.$40k Liq.17Ends in 8 months
87%
Kuomintang (KMT)
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$206k Vol.
$87k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months
$206k Vol.$87k Liq.6Ends in 6 months
38%
Lula da Silva <5%
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
$4k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$8k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
$97k Vol.
$21k Liq.
57
Ended
$97k Vol.$21k Liq.57Ended
50%
59-60%
Bulgaria Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory
$17k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
$17k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in 19 days
45%
PB 5-10%
Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
$7k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
$7k Vol.$37k Liq.Ends in 19 days
83%
GERB-SDS
Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
$14k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
$14k Vol.$54k Liq.Ends in 19 days
69%
PP–DB
Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP % of popular vote
$31k Vol.
$69k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$31k Vol.$69k Liq.Ends in 12 days
36%
40-44%
Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30?
$2k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$2k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
60%
Yes
Bulgaria Parliamentary Election Winner
$28k Vol.
$102k Liq.
3
Ends in 19 days
$28k Vol.$102k Liq.3Ends in 19 days
89%
PB
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility