Election Interference Predictions & Odds· 109 markets
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
$136k Vol.
$10k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$136k Vol.$10k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
Nothing Ever Happens: March
$290k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$290k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
72%
Nothing
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
November or later
Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?
$335k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ends in about 9 hours
$335k Vol.$0 Liq.3Ends in about 9 hours
Yes
U.S. Politics · US Politics
Alito recuses himself from any Jan 6 case?
$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$10k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
No
Wednesday, Nov 6
Daniel Noboa (ADN)
Republicans sweep
Other (incl. Georgescu)
Lai Ching-te (賴清德)
<125
UK Election · Global Elections
UK Election: Labour % of the vote?
$113k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
$113k Vol.$0 Liq.4Ended
30-35%
Republican
Kamala Harris
John Mahama