Emmanuel Predictions & Odds· 112 markets
Lecornu out as French PM by...?
$314k Vol.
$15k Liq.
111
Ends in 9 months
$314k Vol.$15k Liq.111Ends in 9 months
37%
December 31, 2026
Who will Trump talk to in March?
$936k Vol.
$51k Liq.
🔥$407k today
Ends in about 9 hours
$936k Vol.🔥$407k today$51k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
82%
Xi Jinping
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$408k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$408k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM
49%
Richard Grenell
Who will Trump talk to in April?
$13k Vol.
$95k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$13k Vol.$95k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
77%
Mark Rutte
25%
Yes
Netanyahu arrested by March 31?
$137k Vol.
$15k Liq.
4
Ends in about 9 hours
$137k Vol.$15k Liq.4Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
85%
Nothing
54%
Yes
Eric Adams arrested by March 31?
$16k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 9 hours
$16k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$6k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 8 days
32%
160-179
NYC Mayor # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$16k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$16k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 4 days
60%
20-39
NYC Mayor # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$810 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$810 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 8 days
47%
20-39
Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$12.3m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$3.5m today
2
Ends in 4 days
$12.3m Vol.🔥$3.5m today$1.2m Liq.2Ends in 4 days
18%
260-279
Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?
$79k Vol.
$37k Liq.
1
Ends in about 9 hours
$79k Vol.$37k Liq.1Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$2.4m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$178k today
Ends in 8 days
$2.4m Vol.🔥$178k today$1.2m Liq.Ends in 8 days
13%
260-279
Elon Musk # tweets March 30 - April 1, 2026?
$195k Vol.
$135k Liq.
🔥$107k today
Ends in 2 days
$195k Vol.🔥$107k today$135k Liq.Ends in 2 days
38%
65-89
NYC Mayor # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$18k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$18k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 1 day
56%
20-39