Eruption Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
$38k Vol.
$19k Liq.
8
Ends in about 1 year
$38k Vol.$19k Liq.8Ends in about 1 year
12%
Yes
25%
Yes
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$666k Vol.
$22k Liq.
9
Ends in about 1 year
$666k Vol.$22k Liq.9Ends in about 1 year
44%
1
45%
Yes
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$139k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$139k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
38%
Yes
30%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs
$205k Vol.
$164k Liq.
🔥$205k today
Ends in 44 minutes
$205k Vol.🔥$205k today$164k Liq.Ends in 44 minutes
100%
Passion UA
Weather · earthquake
Megaquake by June 30?
$23k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$23k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 3 months
22%
Yes
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
$102k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
8%
Yes
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$2k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 8 days
33%
<5
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$19k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 4 days
87%
<20
earthquake · Natural Disaster
Megaquake by March 31?
$127k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$127k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
1%
Yes
Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$26k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 23 hours
$26k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 23 hours
95%
<20