Eruption Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

$38k Vol.
$19k Liq.
8
Ends in about 1 year

12%

Yes

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

$440k Vol.
$37k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

25%

Yes

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$666k Vol.
$23k Liq.
9
Ends in about 1 year

44%

1

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$11k Liq.
107
Ends in 3 months

45%

Yes

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

$432k Vol.
$4k Liq.
28

38%

Yes

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Crypto

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

$7k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

86%

50

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

$139k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

18%

Yes

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

$6k Vol.
$6k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months

8%

Yes

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

$276k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

38%

Yes

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

$189k Vol.
$18k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months

30%

Yes

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$29k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month

41%

April 30

Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs

$205k Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$205k today
Ends in 35 minutes

100%

Passion UA

Megaquake by June 30?

Weather · earthquake

Megaquake by June 30?

$23k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

22%

Yes

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

5%

Yes

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

$22k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

40%

Yes

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$354 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

8%

Yes

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$374k Vol.
$26k Liq.
62

17%

Isfahan nuclear facility

Megaquake by March 31?

earthquake · Natural Disaster

Megaquake by March 31?

$127k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours

1%

Yes

ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$25k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ended

21%

Yes

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

$14.0m Vol.
$442k Liq.
256
Ends in 3 months

44%

>$600M