Exit Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
$153k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$153k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes

3%
Yes

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?
$733k Vol.
$98k Liq.
61
Ends in about 1 month
$733k Vol.$98k Liq.61Ends in about 1 month
9%
June 30

45%
Yes

U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?
$6k Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$6k Vol.$5k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
9%
Yes

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$184k Liq.
🔥$129k today
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.🔥$129k today$184k Liq.Ends in 9 months
57%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer

U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by...?
$376k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$376k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
20%
April 30

U.S. evacuates Jerusalem embassy by March 31?
$53k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in about 7 hours
$53k Vol.$8k Liq.3Ends in about 7 hours
1%
Yes

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?
$142k Vol.
$13k Liq.
15
Ends in about 7 hours
$142k Vol.$13k Liq.15Ends in about 7 hours
1%
Yes

Politics · Geopolitics
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
$109k Vol.
$42k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
$109k Vol.$42k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$438k Liq.
256
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$438k Liq.256Ends in 3 months
44%
>$600M

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?
$9k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$9k Vol.$59k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
56%
S&P 500

What price will Ethena hit in March?
$96k Vol.
$176k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$96k Vol.$176k Liq.Ends in 1 day
13%
↓ 0.08

What will Bitcoin outperform in March?
$97k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$97k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
99%
Gold

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
$595k Vol.
$35k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$595k Vol.$35k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
17%
↑ $4

Politics · Geopolitics
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?
$6k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$6k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$20k Liq.
8
Ends in about 7 hours
$82k Vol.$20k Liq.8Ends in about 7 hours
1%
Yes

What price will Hyperliquid hit in March?
$548k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$548k Vol.$59k Liq.Ends in 1 day
5%
↑ 44

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?
$5 Vol.
$151 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$5 Vol.$151 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
69%
↑ $3.00