Extraterrestrial Life Predictions & Odds· 102 markets
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$22.0m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$428k today
818
Ends in 9 months
$22.0m Vol.🔥$428k today$1.3m Liq.818Ends in 9 months
17%
December 31
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
$134k Vol.
$18k Liq.
7
Ends in about 5 hours
$134k Vol.$18k Liq.7Ends in about 5 hours
75%
December 31
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
$24k Vol.
$6k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$6k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
45%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$13k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$13k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$139k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$139k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
14%
Isfahan nuclear facility
What price will Aster hit in 2026?
$64k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$64k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
72%
↓ 0.40
43%
Yes
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
$38k Vol.
$19k Liq.
8
Ends in about 1 year
$38k Vol.$19k Liq.8Ends in about 1 year
12%
Yes
26%
Yes
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
$102k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
Science · Weather
2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$2k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
40%
3rd hottest
2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
$271k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$271k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 10 days
98%
4th or lower
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
$596k Vol.
$34k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$596k Vol.$34k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
16%
↑ $4
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$666k Vol.
$17k Liq.
9
Ends in about 1 year
$666k Vol.$17k Liq.9Ends in about 1 year
44%
1
Sports · Japan J2 League
Sagan Tosu vs. Reilac Shiga
$0 Vol.
$29 Liq.
Ends in 25 days
$0 Vol.$29 Liq.Ends in 25 days
51%
Reilac Shiga
Weather · Science
April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
$18k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$18k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
32%
1.20–1.24ºC