Fdic Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
M
Economy
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
F
84%
Pause–Pause–Pause
F
97%
Pause–Pause–Pause
F
74%
Pause–Pause–Pause
F
Fed Decision in July?
$3.1m Vol.
$280k Liq.
🔥$771k today
1
Ends in 4 months
$3.1m Vol.🔥$771k today$280k Liq.1Ends in 4 months
77%
No change
F
Fed decision in April?
$40.3m Vol.
$3.5m Liq.
🔥$2.3m today
26
Ends in 29 days
$40.3m Vol.🔥$2.3m today$3.5m Liq.26Ends in 29 days
98%
No change
F
Fed Decision in June?
$4.8m Vol.
$875k Liq.
🔥$261k today
14
Ends in 3 months
$4.8m Vol.🔥$261k today$875k Liq.14Ends in 3 months
89%
No change
W
Which banks will fail by June 30?
$357k Vol.
$100k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$357k Vol.$100k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
3%
Citigroup
F
64%
December Meeting
H
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
$10k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 29 days
$10k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 29 days
43%
1
F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$74k Vol.
$19k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$19k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
W
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$15.9m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$318k today
72
Ends in 7 months
$15.9m Vol.🔥$318k today$1.6m Liq.72Ends in 7 months
95%
Kevin Warsh
H
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
$41k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$41k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 9 months
34%
54
M
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.1m Vol.
$566k Liq.
258
Ends in 3 months
$14.1m Vol.$566k Liq.258Ends in 3 months
44%
>$600M
R
Robinhood self-certifies sports event contract by March 31?
$4k Vol.
$779 Liq.
6
Ended
$4k Vol.$779 Liq.6Ended
1%
Yes
O
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
26%
Yes
W
What price will BNB hit in March?
$284k Vol.
$105k Liq.
1
Ends in about 19 hours
$284k Vol.$105k Liq.1Ends in about 19 hours
0%
↑ 700