Foreign Aid Predictions & Odds· 177 markets
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?
$9k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$9k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 30 days
19%
April 30
30%
June 30
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$9k Liq.
38
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$9k Liq.38Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Israel military action against Gaza on...?
$990k Vol.
$16k Liq.
🔥$129k today
1
Ended
$990k Vol.🔥$129k today$16k Liq.1Ended
61%
March 31
Iran military action against Israel on...?
$2.0m Vol.
$10k Liq.
🔥$94k today
2
Ended
$2.0m Vol.🔥$94k today$10k Liq.2Ended
98%
March 27
Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?
$177k Vol.
$16k Liq.
🔥$56k today
22
Ended
$177k Vol.🔥$56k today$16k Liq.22Ended
0%
Yes
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$803k Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$803k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
56%
Mojtaba Khamenei
70%
March 31
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
$944k Vol.
$55k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$944k Vol.$55k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
96%
March 31
100%
March 28
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$845k Vol.
$88k Liq.
30
Ends in 9 months
$845k Vol.$88k Liq.30Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$1.6m Vol.
$261k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$1.6m Vol.$261k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
90%
SpaceX
Iran military action against Israel on...?
$4k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$4k Vol.$53k Liq.Ends in 30 days
86%
April 1
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
$5k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$5k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in 30 days
96%
April 2
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
$52k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$52k Vol.$38k Liq.Ends in 30 days
57%
June 30
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$30k Liq.
79
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$30k Liq.79Ends in 3 months
14%
June 30
Israel military action against Gaza on...?
$807 Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$807 Vol.$36k Liq.Ends in 30 days
53%
April 9
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$33k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$33k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 30 days
70%
April 1
Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?
$9k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$9k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 30 days
88%
April 4