Fraud Predictions & Odds· 223 markets
Tim Walz charged by...?
$496k Vol.
$71k Liq.
47
Ends in about 5 hours
$496k Vol.$71k Liq.47Ends in about 5 hours
9%
Before 2027
Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?
$84k Vol.
$9k Liq.
8
Ends in about 5 hours
$84k Vol.$9k Liq.8Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
Will anyone charged over daycare fraud in MN be deported by March 31?
$35k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in about 5 hours
$35k Vol.$8k Liq.3Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?
$17k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$17k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
What will Trump say in March?
$164k Vol.
$12k Liq.
22
Ends in about 5 hours
$164k Vol.$12k Liq.22Ends in about 5 hours
11%
Third term
Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
$81k Vol.
$55k Liq.
1
Ends in about 5 hours
$81k Vol.$55k Liq.1Ends in about 5 hours
9%
Jacky Rosen
Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?
$77k Vol.
$24k Liq.
3
Ends in about 5 hours
$77k Vol.$24k Liq.3Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
Tim Walz in jail by...?
$42k Vol.
$19k Liq.
2
Ends in about 5 hours
$42k Vol.$19k Liq.2Ends in about 5 hours
6%
December 31, 2026
Insurrection Act invoked by...?
$1.0m Vol.
$42k Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months
$1.0m Vol.$42k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
33%
December 31
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
$733k Vol.
$8k Liq.
147
Ends in about 5 hours
$733k Vol.$8k Liq.147Ends in about 5 hours
2%
Yes
Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?
$1.6m Vol.
$29k Liq.
23
Ends in about 5 hours
$1.6m Vol.$29k Liq.23Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$20k Liq.
8
Ends in about 5 hours
$82k Vol.$20k Liq.8Ends in about 5 hours
1%
Yes
Becca Good charged by March 31?
$7k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in about 5 hours
$7k Vol.$3k Liq.3Ends in about 5 hours
2%
Yes
MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner
$15k Vol.
$19k Liq.
4
Ends in 4 months
$15k Vol.$19k Liq.4Ends in 4 months
85%
Ilhan Omar
Nothing Ever Happens: Ilhan Omar
$18k Vol.
$7k Liq.
4
Ends in about 5 hours
$18k Vol.$7k Liq.4Ends in about 5 hours
100%
Nothing
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$312k Vol.
$12k Liq.
27
Ends in about 5 hours
$312k Vol.$12k Liq.27Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
Will Tim Walz resign by...?
$2.5m Vol.
$33k Liq.
44
Ends in 3 months
$2.5m Vol.$33k Liq.44Ends in 3 months
9%
Before 2027
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$0 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
50%
Go ahead 5+ times