Gemini Ultra Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
G
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
$31k Vol.
$14k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$31k Vol.$14k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
G
Gemini 3.5 released by...?
$825k Vol.
$43k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months
$825k Vol.$43k Liq.49Ends in 3 months
30%
June 30
G
Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$264k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
$264k Vol.$5k Liq.Ended
93%
40%+
M
53%
Yes
C
66%
June 30
C
54%
June 30
A
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$56k Vol.
$2k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$56k Vol.$2k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
75%
Yes
A
Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$192k Vol.
$16k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$192k Vol.$16k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
96%
35%+
H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)
$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 3 months
56%
≤8
W
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
$18 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$18 Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
$1.8m Vol.
$75k Liq.
23
Ends in 3 months
$1.8m Vol.$75k Liq.23Ends in 3 months
86%
8+
M
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.6m Vol.
$437k Liq.
🔥$152k today
259
Ends in 3 months
$14.6m Vol.🔥$152k today$437k Liq.259Ends in 3 months
65%
>$600M
G
No
G
November 30
W
November 18
G
December 31
G
Gemini 3 score on FrontierMath Benchmark by January 31?
$2.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
$2.0m Vol.$0 Liq.1Ended
40%+
G
Google Gemini 3 score on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?
$777k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$777k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
35%