Geopolitcs Predictions & OddsΒ· 551 markets
US forces enter Iran by..?
$55.0m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
π₯$6.9m today
5,183
$55.0m Vol.π₯$6.9m today$1.1m Liq.5,183
78%
December 31
Netanyahu out by...?
$89.4m Vol.
$4.8m Liq.
π₯$5.7m today
33
Ends in 9 months
$89.4m Vol.π₯$5.7m today$4.8m Liq.33Ends in 9 months
42%
December 31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?
$76.5m Vol.
$13.7m Liq.
π₯$4.7m today
3
Ends in about 4 hours
$76.5m Vol.π₯$4.7m today$13.7m Liq.3Ends in about 4 hours
100%
β $100
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$58.5m Vol.
$2.6m Liq.
π₯$4.2m today
3
Ends in about 4 hours
$58.5m Vol.π₯$4.2m today$2.6m Liq.3Ends in about 4 hours
0%
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$64.2m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
π₯$3.2m today
1,263
$64.2m Vol.π₯$3.2m today$1.3m Liq.1,263
72%
December 31
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$23.0m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
π₯$655k today
4
Ends in 3 months
$23.0m Vol.π₯$655k today$1.4m Liq.4Ends in 3 months
17%
Yes
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$150k Liq.
π₯$654k today
3
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.π₯$654k today$150k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
29%
5
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$9.3m Vol.
$366k Liq.
π₯$635k today
211
Ends in 1 day
$9.3m Vol.π₯$635k today$366k Liq.211Ends in 1 day
43%
June 30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
$29.5m Vol.
$389k Liq.
π₯$557k today
20,364
Ends in about 4 hours
$29.5m Vol.π₯$557k today$389k Liq.20,364Ends in about 4 hours
0%
Yes
Who will Trump talk to in March?
$1.0m Vol.
$40k Liq.
π₯$449k today
Ends in about 4 hours
$1.0m Vol.π₯$449k today$40k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
79%
Xi Jinping
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
$5.2m Vol.
$116k Liq.
π₯$417k today
Ends in about 4 hours
$5.2m Vol.π₯$417k today$116k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
2%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$13.1m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
π₯$410k today
Ends in about 1 month
$13.1m Vol.π₯$410k today$1.3m Liq.Ends in about 1 month
7%
Yes
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
$12.5m Vol.
$438k Liq.
π₯$398k today
288
Ends in 3 months
$12.5m Vol.π₯$398k today$438k Liq.288Ends in 3 months
27%
December 31
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$14.7m Vol.
$536k Liq.
π₯$359k today
72
Ends in 9 months
$14.7m Vol.π₯$359k today$536k Liq.72Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
$7.9m Vol.
$332k Liq.
π₯$330k today
159
Ends in 3 months
$7.9m Vol.π₯$330k today$332k Liq.159Ends in 3 months
68%
June 30
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
$8.7m Vol.
$552k Liq.
π₯$319k today
326
Ends in about 4 hours
$8.7m Vol.π₯$319k today$552k Liq.326Ends in about 4 hours
73%
December 31
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
$78.6m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
π₯$297k today
206
Ends in 9 months
$78.6m Vol.π₯$297k today$1.1m Liq.206Ends in 9 months
65%
Delcy RodrΓguez
Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?
$2.5m Vol.
$18k Liq.
π₯$284k today
1
Ends in about 4 hours
$2.5m Vol.π₯$284k today$18k Liq.1Ends in about 4 hours
97%
March 30
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
$576k Vol.
$80k Liq.
π₯$230k today
102
Ends in 3 months
$576k Vol.π₯$230k today$80k Liq.102Ends in 3 months
98%
Yes
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$659k Vol.
$134k Liq.
π₯$218k today
16
Ends in about 1 month
$659k Vol.π₯$218k today$134k Liq.16Ends in about 1 month
37%
India