Geopolitcs Predictions & OddsΒ· 551 markets
US forces enter Iran by..?
$54.5m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
π₯$7.5m today
5,112
$54.5m Vol.π₯$7.5m today$1.1m Liq.5,112
76%
December 31
Netanyahu out by...?
$89.3m Vol.
$4.7m Liq.
π₯$5.8m today
33
Ends in 9 months
$89.3m Vol.π₯$5.8m today$4.7m Liq.33Ends in 9 months
44%
December 31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?
$75.8m Vol.
$5.4m Liq.
π₯$4.2m today
3
Ends in about 6 hours
$75.8m Vol.π₯$4.2m today$5.4m Liq.3Ends in about 6 hours
99%
β $100
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$58.3m Vol.
$2.5m Liq.
π₯$4.1m today
3
Ends in about 6 hours
$58.3m Vol.π₯$4.1m today$2.5m Liq.3Ends in about 6 hours
0%
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$63.8m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
π₯$3.2m today
1,262
$63.8m Vol.π₯$3.2m today$1.4m Liq.1,262
72%
December 31
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
$5.5m Vol.
$180k Liq.
π₯$634k today
2
Ends in 9 months
$5.5m Vol.π₯$634k today$180k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
28%
5
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$9.3m Vol.
$383k Liq.
π₯$634k today
211
Ends in 1 day
$9.3m Vol.π₯$634k today$383k Liq.211Ends in 1 day
44%
June 30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
$29.5m Vol.
$389k Liq.
π₯$557k today
20,364
Ends in about 6 hours
$29.5m Vol.π₯$557k today$389k Liq.20,364Ends in about 6 hours
0%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$22.8m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
π₯$552k today
3
Ends in 3 months
$22.8m Vol.π₯$552k today$1.5m Liq.3Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
Who will Trump talk to in March?
$990k Vol.
$48k Liq.
π₯$434k today
Ends in about 6 hours
$990k Vol.π₯$434k today$48k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
75%
Xi Jinping
Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?
$2.5m Vol.
$19k Liq.
π₯$429k today
1
Ends in about 6 hours
$2.5m Vol.π₯$429k today$19k Liq.1Ends in about 6 hours
95%
March 30
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
$5.2m Vol.
$131k Liq.
π₯$404k today
Ends in about 6 hours
$5.2m Vol.π₯$404k today$131k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
2%
Yes
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$14.7m Vol.
$536k Liq.
π₯$359k today
72
Ends in 9 months
$14.7m Vol.π₯$359k today$536k Liq.72Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
$7.9m Vol.
$368k Liq.
π₯$342k today
158
Ends in 3 months
$7.9m Vol.π₯$342k today$368k Liq.158Ends in 3 months
67%
June 30
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$13.0m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
π₯$324k today
Ends in about 1 month
$13.0m Vol.π₯$324k today$1.4m Liq.Ends in about 1 month
7%
Yes
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
$12.3m Vol.
$472k Liq.
π₯$306k today
288
Ends in 3 months
$12.3m Vol.π₯$306k today$472k Liq.288Ends in 3 months
28%
December 31
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
$8.7m Vol.
$495k Liq.
π₯$301k today
326
Ends in about 6 hours
$8.7m Vol.π₯$301k today$495k Liq.326Ends in about 6 hours
78%
December 31
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
$78.6m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
π₯$297k today
206
Ends in 9 months
$78.6m Vol.π₯$297k today$1.3m Liq.206Ends in 9 months
65%
Delcy RodrΓguez
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by March 31?
$10.9m Vol.
$463k Liq.
π₯$263k today
Ends in about 6 hours
$10.9m Vol.π₯$263k today$463k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
2%
Saudi Arabia
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$652k Vol.
$177k Liq.
π₯$260k today
16
Ends in about 1 month
$652k Vol.π₯$260k today$177k Liq.16Ends in about 1 month
26%
United States