Geopolitcs Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?
$641k Vol.
$20k Liq.
320
Ends in about 10 hours
$641k Vol.$20k Liq.320Ends in about 10 hours
86%
April 30
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by...?
$75k Vol.
$22k Liq.
4
Ends in about 10 hours
$75k Vol.$22k Liq.4Ends in about 10 hours
9%
April 30
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?
$21k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours
$21k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 10 hours
31%
Yes
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$164k Vol.
$158k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$164k Vol.$158k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
98%
Kuwait
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
$701k Vol.
$113k Liq.
34
Ends in 9 months
$701k Vol.$113k Liq.34Ends in 9 months
34%
7
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?
$1.2m Vol.
$36k Liq.
166
Ends in 3 months
$1.2m Vol.$36k Liq.166Ends in 3 months
8%
June 30
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$6k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
$362k Vol.
$195k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$362k Vol.$195k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
4%
June 30
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$33k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$33k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
69%
April 1
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by...?
$312k Vol.
$14k Liq.
97
Ends in about 10 hours
$312k Vol.$14k Liq.97Ends in about 10 hours
28%
April 30
Iran military action against Israel on...?
$3k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$3k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
86%
April 1
Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?
$884k Vol.
$147k Liq.
31
Ends in 3 months
$884k Vol.$147k Liq.31Ends in 3 months
35%
Dopropillia
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?
$50k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$50k Vol.$14k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
13%
April 30
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?
$119k Vol.
$51k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$119k Vol.$51k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
70%
December 31
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?
$889k Vol.
$29k Liq.
183
Ends in about 1 month
$889k Vol.$29k Liq.183Ends in about 1 month
12%
April 30
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$125k Vol.
$238k Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours
$125k Vol.$238k Liq.Ends in about 10 hours
100%
March 30
Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?
$9k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$9k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
73%
April 9
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by...?
$12k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$12k Vol.$14k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
38%
April 30
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$3.6m Vol.
$183k Liq.
🔥$279k today
Ends in about 10 hours
$3.6m Vol.🔥$279k today$183k Liq.Ends in about 10 hours
97%
Bahrain