Geopolitcs Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?
$642k Vol.
$28k Liq.
320
Ends in about 6 hours
$642k Vol.$28k Liq.320Ends in about 6 hours
90%
April 30
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by...?
$75k Vol.
$21k Liq.
4
Ends in about 6 hours
$75k Vol.$21k Liq.4Ends in about 6 hours
9%
April 30
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?
$22k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$22k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
28%
Yes
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$168k Vol.
$181k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$168k Vol.$181k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
98%
Bahrain
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
$701k Vol.
$113k Liq.
34
Ends in 9 months
$701k Vol.$113k Liq.34Ends in 9 months
34%
7
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?
$1.2m Vol.
$31k Liq.
166
Ends in 3 months
$1.2m Vol.$31k Liq.166Ends in 3 months
9%
June 30
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$6k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
$362k Vol.
$123k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$362k Vol.$123k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
4%
June 30
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$33k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$33k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
70%
April 1
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by...?
$314k Vol.
$13k Liq.
97
Ends in about 6 hours
$314k Vol.$13k Liq.97Ends in about 6 hours
28%
April 30
Iran military action against Israel on...?
$3k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$3k Vol.$46k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
86%
April 4
Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?
$884k Vol.
$168k Liq.
32
Ends in 3 months
$884k Vol.$168k Liq.32Ends in 3 months
36%
Dopropillia
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?
$50k Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$50k Vol.$16k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
13%
April 30
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?
$119k Vol.
$45k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$119k Vol.$45k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
71%
December 31
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?
$889k Vol.
$28k Liq.
184
Ends in about 1 month
$889k Vol.$28k Liq.184Ends in about 1 month
12%
April 30
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$130k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$130k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
96%
March 24
Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?
$9k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$9k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
73%
April 9
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by...?
$12k Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$12k Vol.$16k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
35%
April 30
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$3.6m Vol.
$185k Liq.
🔥$201k today
Ends in about 6 hours
$3.6m Vol.🔥$201k today$185k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
97%
Bahrain