Geopolitcs Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?
$642k Vol.
$19k Liq.
321
Ends in about 4 hours
$642k Vol.$19k Liq.321Ends in about 4 hours
90%
April 30
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by...?
$75k Vol.
$17k Liq.
4
Ends in about 4 hours
$75k Vol.$17k Liq.4Ends in about 4 hours
9%
April 30
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?
$24k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$24k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
19%
Yes
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$169k Vol.
$148k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$169k Vol.$148k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
98%
Bahrain
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$6k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
$717k Vol.
$85k Liq.
34
Ends in 9 months
$717k Vol.$85k Liq.34Ends in 9 months
34%
7
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?
$1.2m Vol.
$29k Liq.
167
Ends in 3 months
$1.2m Vol.$29k Liq.167Ends in 3 months
9%
June 30
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
$362k Vol.
$101k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$362k Vol.$101k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
4%
June 30
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$33k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$33k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
70%
April 1
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by...?
$314k Vol.
$10k Liq.
97
Ends in about 4 hours
$314k Vol.$10k Liq.97Ends in about 4 hours
29%
April 30
Iran military action against Israel on...?
$3k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$3k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
86%
April 4
Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?
$884k Vol.
$128k Liq.
32
Ends in 3 months
$884k Vol.$128k Liq.32Ends in 3 months
36%
Dopropillia
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?
$51k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$51k Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
13%
April 30
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?
$889k Vol.
$26k Liq.
184
Ends in about 1 month
$889k Vol.$26k Liq.184Ends in about 1 month
12%
April 30
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?
$119k Vol.
$32k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$119k Vol.$32k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
71%
December 31
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$144k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$144k Vol.$34k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
64%
March 31
Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?
$9k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$9k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
81%
April 9
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by...?
$105k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in about 4 hours
$105k Vol.$10k Liq.1Ends in about 4 hours
23%
April 30
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by...?
$12k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$12k Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
35%
April 30