Geopolitics Predictions & Odds· 551 markets
US forces enter Iran by..?
$53.7m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$8.0m today
4,972
$53.7m Vol.🔥$8.0m today$1.6m Liq.4,972
76%
December 31
Netanyahu out by...?
$89.1m Vol.
$4.6m Liq.
🔥$6.2m today
32
Ends in 9 months
$89.1m Vol.🔥$6.2m today$4.6m Liq.32Ends in 9 months
44%
December 31
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$57.8m Vol.
$2.8m Liq.
🔥$3.8m today
2
Ends in about 11 hours
$57.8m Vol.🔥$3.8m today$2.8m Liq.2Ends in about 11 hours
0%
Yes
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?
$74.8m Vol.
$5.2m Liq.
🔥$3.6m today
3
Ends in about 11 hours
$74.8m Vol.🔥$3.6m today$5.2m Liq.3Ends in about 11 hours
82%
↑ $100
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$63.0m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$2.8m today
1,250
$63.0m Vol.🔥$2.8m today$1.4m Liq.1,250
73%
December 31
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$9.2m Vol.
$393k Liq.
🔥$639k today
209
Ends in 1 day
$9.2m Vol.🔥$639k today$393k Liq.209Ends in 1 day
45%
June 30
Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?
$2.4m Vol.
$18k Liq.
🔥$622k today
1
Ends in about 11 hours
$2.4m Vol.🔥$622k today$18k Liq.1Ends in about 11 hours
86%
March 30
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
$5.4m Vol.
$163k Liq.
🔥$611k today
2
Ends in 9 months
$5.4m Vol.🔥$611k today$163k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
27%
5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
$29.5m Vol.
$389k Liq.
🔥$557k today
20,363
Ends in about 11 hours
$29.5m Vol.🔥$557k today$389k Liq.20,363Ends in about 11 hours
0%
Yes
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$638k Vol.
$137k Liq.
🔥$386k today
15
Ends in about 1 month
$638k Vol.🔥$386k today$137k Liq.15Ends in about 1 month
33%
United States
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
$5.1m Vol.
$112k Liq.
🔥$385k today
Ends in about 11 hours
$5.1m Vol.🔥$385k today$112k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
4%
Yes
Who will Trump talk to in March?
$885k Vol.
$40k Liq.
🔥$373k today
Ends in about 11 hours
$885k Vol.🔥$373k today$40k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
90%
Xi Jinping
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
$7.8m Vol.
$314k Liq.
🔥$357k today
158
Ends in 3 months
$7.8m Vol.🔥$357k today$314k Liq.158Ends in 3 months
69%
June 30
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$14.7m Vol.
$536k Liq.
🔥$359k today
71
Ends in 9 months
$14.7m Vol.🔥$359k today$536k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by March 31?
$10.9m Vol.
$411k Liq.
🔥$355k today
Ends in about 11 hours
$10.9m Vol.🔥$355k today$411k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
3%
Saudi Arabia
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
$78.6m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$314k today
208
Ends in 9 months
$78.6m Vol.🔥$314k today$1.2m Liq.208Ends in 9 months
65%
Delcy Rodríguez
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$59k Liq.
🔥$287k today
Ends in about 11 hours
$1.6m Vol.🔥$287k today$59k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
97%
0-10
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$3.6m Vol.
$183k Liq.
🔥$281k today
Ends in about 11 hours
$3.6m Vol.🔥$281k today$183k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
97%
Bahrain
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
$8.6m Vol.
$466k Liq.
🔥$279k today
327
Ends in about 11 hours
$8.6m Vol.🔥$279k today$466k Liq.327Ends in about 11 hours
79%
December 31
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
$12.3m Vol.
$552k Liq.
🔥$271k today
294
Ends in 3 months
$12.3m Vol.🔥$271k today$552k Liq.294Ends in 3 months
27%
December 31