Gerrymander Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

$229k Vol.
$28k Liq.
5
Ends in 21 days

84%

Yes

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

$0 Vol.
$411 Liq.
Ends in 7 months

77%

Yes

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$28k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month

41%

April 30

Will the Texas House pass HB 4 by August 19?

Will the Texas House pass HB 4 by August 19?

$40k Vol.
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2
Ended

No

Will the Texas House vote on HB 4 by August 19?

No

# of Republican House seats after Election? (brackets)

220-224

Reform share of votes in UK election?

Reform share of votes in UK election?

$42k Vol.
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1
Ended

11-15%

# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

$283k Vol.
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5
Ended

<125

UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

UK Election · Global Elections

UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

$113k Vol.
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4
Ended

30-35%

Election called by...?

Election called by...?

$146k Vol.
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2
Ended

Wednesday, Nov 6

EU Election: Which party will win the most seats?

EU Election: Which party will win the most seats?

$30k Vol.
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2
Ended

EPP

Who will win each swing district?

Who will win each swing district?

$507k Vol.
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5
Ended

Clark, NV (Las Vegas)

South Korea election: Which party wins the most seats?

South Korea election: Which party wins the most seats?

$59k Vol.
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DPK

Which party wins second most seats in UK Election?

Which party wins second most seats in UK Election?

$586k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended

Conservatives

California Senate Primary: Who will advance?

California Senate Primary: Who will advance?

$202k Vol.
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2
Ended

Steve Garvey

Trump Margin of Victory in Idaho Caucus?

Trump Margin of Victory in Idaho Caucus?

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1
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>60%

Spanish Election

All

Spanish Election

$10k Vol.
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Ended

Will PP win a plurality?

How many "Squad" members will lose their primaries?

How many "Squad" members will lose their primaries?

$384k Vol.
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10
Ended

2

Texas Democratic Senate Primary

$41k Vol.
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Colin Allred