Government Shutdown Predictions & Odds· 107 markets
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$254k Vol.
$21k Liq.
12
Ends in 7 months
$254k Vol.$21k Liq.12Ends in 7 months
83%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
W
When will the DHS shutdown end?
$532k Vol.
$162k Liq.
1
Ends in 30 days
$532k Vol.$162k Liq.1Ends in 30 days
37%
After April 30
W
100%
After March 31
W
1%
Yes
W
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
$557k Vol.
$23k Liq.
28
Ended
$557k Vol.$23k Liq.28Ended
51%
December 31, 2026
W
Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$39k Liq.
2
Ended
$82k Vol.$39k Liq.2Ended
5%
Jacky Rosen
W
9%
Isfahan nuclear facility
O
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
26%
Yes
M
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$20k Liq.
8
Ended
$82k Vol.$20k Liq.8Ended
1%
Yes
W
What price will Hyperliquid hit in March?
$560k Vol.
$55k Liq.
1
Ends in about 21 hours
$560k Vol.$55k Liq.1Ends in about 21 hours
1%
↑ 44
W
What price will Ethena hit in March?
$107k Vol.
$29k Liq.
1
Ends in about 21 hours
$107k Vol.$29k Liq.1Ends in about 21 hours
1%
↓ 0.08
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?
$7k Vol.
$885 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$885 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
71%
December 31, 2026
M
47%
Yes
W
White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$16k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
$16k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 7 days
41%
160-179
W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$773 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$773 Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 10 days
48%
160-179
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$32k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$32k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
48%
US x Iran Ceasefire
W
White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$250k Vol.
$9k Liq.
🔥$102k today
Ends in about 9 hours
$250k Vol.🔥$102k today$9k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
97%
160-179