Gpt 4pt5 Predictions & Odds· 116 markets
C
65%
April 17
W
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
$335k Vol.
$112k Liq.
53
Ends in 3 months
$335k Vol.$112k Liq.53Ends in 3 months
52%
Anthropic
C
6%
Yes
O
77%
Yes
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$10k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
W
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
$24k Vol.
$30k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$30k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
41%
None in 2026
G
83%
December 31, 2026
O
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$18k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$18k Vol.$1k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
41%
60%+
O
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$3k Vol.
$803 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$3k Vol.$803 Liq.1Ends in 3 months
49%
Yes
W
What will happen before GTA VI?
$19.9m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
795
Ends in 4 months
$19.9m Vol.$1.6m Liq.795Ends in 4 months
85%
Drake releases Iceman
W
Which company has best AI model end of June?
$3.0m Vol.
$382k Liq.
65
Ends in 3 months
$3.0m Vol.$382k Liq.65Ends in 3 months
64%
Anthropic
W
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
$926k Vol.
$183k Liq.
24
Ends in 3 months
$926k Vol.$183k Liq.24Ends in 3 months
51%
Anthropic
W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$252k Vol.
$2k Liq.
31
Ended
$252k Vol.$2k Liq.31Ended
31%
Yes
E
Soccer · Sports
English Premier League - Top 4 Finish
$1.6m Vol.
$126k Liq.
18
Ends in about 2 months
$1.6m Vol.$126k Liq.18Ends in about 2 months
100%
Arsenal
C
67%
June 30
H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$677k Vol.
$17k Liq.
9
Ends in 12 months
$677k Vol.$17k Liq.9Ends in 12 months
45%
1
C
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B
$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$5k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Skele
G
13%
Yes
C
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage
$0 Vol.
$413 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$0 Vol.$413 Liq.Ends in 1 day
51%
Rune Eaters