Grok Predictions & Odds· 249 markets

Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

$288k Vol.
$13k Liq.
29
Ends in 3 months

21%

June 30, 2026

Grok memecoin wallet hits $1M before April?

Grok memecoin wallet hits $1M before April?

$10k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in 2 days

2%

Yes

Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?

Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?

$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

13%

Yes

xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$119 Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months

76%

25%+

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

$15.9m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
🔥$287k today
Ends in about 14 hours

100%

Anthropic

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

$1.4m Vol.
$70k Liq.
🔥$158k today
25
Ends in 3 months

28%

OpenAI

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

$1.1m Vol.
$169k Liq.
20
Ends in about 14 hours

99%

OpenAI

Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

$540k Vol.
$67k Liq.
2
Ends in about 14 hours

98%

Anthropic

Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

$999k Vol.
$111k Liq.
1
Ends in about 14 hours

98%

Anthropic

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

$2.9m Vol.
$425k Liq.
63
Ends in 3 months

65%

Anthropic

Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

$384k Vol.
$67k Liq.
2
Ends in about 14 hours

96%

Google

Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?

Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?

$487k Vol.
$62k Liq.
3
Ends in about 14 hours

100%

OpenAI

Which company has the third best AI model end of March?

Which company has the third best AI model end of March?

$525k Vol.
$95k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours

99%

Google

Which company has the second best AI model end of March?

Which company has the second best AI model end of March?

$617k Vol.
$108k Liq.
1
Ends in about 14 hours

99%

Anthropic

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

$333k Vol.
$121k Liq.
52
Ends in 3 months

50%

Anthropic

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

$475k Vol.
$179k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months

49%

Anthropic

Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?

Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?

$0 Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

6%

Yes

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

$894 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 16 days

77%

April 15

Trove founder arrested by March 31?

Trove founder arrested by March 31?

$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
4
Ends in 2 days

2%

Yes

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

$38k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month

71%

June 30