Humanoid Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
$68k Vol.
$19k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$68k Vol.$19k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
24%
December 31
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
$51k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
$51k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in almost 2 years
68%
Anthropic
47%
Yes
8%
Yes
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$13k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
3%
Yes
Claude Mythos released by…?
$38k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$38k Vol.$19k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
71%
June 30
3%
Yes
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$905k Vol.
$104k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$905k Vol.$104k Liq.Ends in 3 months
96%
No IPO by June 30, 2026
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
$24k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
Esports · league of legends
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
$5k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$5k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 5 days
59%
Team WE
Esports · league of legends
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season
$0 Vol.
$908 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
$0 Vol.$908 Liq.Ends in 6 days
76%
RED Canids
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$93k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
$93k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in almost 2 years
76%
600B+
Games · Sports
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season
$0 Vol.
$330 Liq.
Ends in 2 days
$0 Vol.$330 Liq.Ends in 2 days
36%
Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffs
$0 Vol.
$344 Liq.
Ends in 2 days
$0 Vol.$344 Liq.Ends in 2 days
50%
Rare Atom
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$8k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$8k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs Keyd (BO3) - PGL Astana: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs
$0 Vol.
$275 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$0 Vol.$275 Liq.Ends in 1 day
52%
DashSkins
Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$188k Vol.
$18k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$188k Vol.$18k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
94%
35%+
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$56k Vol.
$1k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$56k Vol.$1k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
56%
Yes