Khamenei Out Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

Iran leadership change by...?
$5.3m Vol.
$254k Liq.
🔥$127k today
887
Ends in 9 months
$5.3m Vol.🔥$127k today$254k Liq.887Ends in 9 months
48%
December 31

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$28k Vol.
$13k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$13k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
35%
Leadership Change

What will Trump say this week? (April 5)
$3k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$3k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 5 days
87%
Sunday

What will Trump say in April?
$16k Vol.
$36k Liq.
11
Ends in about 1 month
$16k Vol.$36k Liq.11Ends in about 1 month
93%
Jesus

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?
$733k Vol.
$94k Liq.
61
Ends in about 1 month
$733k Vol.$94k Liq.61Ends in about 1 month
9%
June 30

Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$19k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 4 days
88%
<20

Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$2k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 8 days
32%
<5

Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$26k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours
$26k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 22 hours
96%
<20

Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?
$24k Vol.
$102 Liq.
43
Ends in about 6 hours
$24k Vol.$102 Liq.43Ends in about 6 hours
46%
Yes

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
$708k Vol.
$48k Liq.
117
Ends in about 1 month
$708k Vol.$48k Liq.117Ends in about 1 month
37%
May 31

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?
$494k Vol.
$62k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$494k Vol.$62k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
38%
December 31

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
$390k Vol.
$13k Liq.
17
Ends in about 6 hours
$390k Vol.$13k Liq.17Ends in about 6 hours
4%
Yes

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
$256k Vol.
$62k Liq.
7
Ends in about 1 month
$256k Vol.$62k Liq.7Ends in about 1 month
8%
June 30

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?
$8k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$8k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
19%
April 30

Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?
$1.1m Vol.
$402k Liq.
47
Ends in about 6 hours
$1.1m Vol.$402k Liq.47Ends in about 6 hours
0%
Yes

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$22.8m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$562k today
3
Ends in 3 months
$22.8m Vol.🔥$562k today$1.5m Liq.3Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$18k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$18k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$13.0m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$325k today
Ends in about 1 month
$13.0m Vol.🔥$325k today$1.4m Liq.Ends in about 1 month
7%
Yes

Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$537k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$537k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$58.3m Vol.
$2.5m Liq.
🔥$4.1m today
3
Ends in about 6 hours
$58.3m Vol.🔥$4.1m today$2.5m Liq.3Ends in about 6 hours
0%
Yes