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Layoff Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

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T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech·Big Tech

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 11 months

93%

Up

T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech·Macro Indicators

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

$56 Vol.
$792 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

87%

Up

M
March Unemployment Rate

Economy·NFP

March Unemployment Rate

$157k Vol.
$23k Liq.
🔥$114k today
Ends in about 13 hours

34%

4.4%

M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

Crypto·Airdrops

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$14k Liq.
108
Ends in 3 months

51%

Yes

H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

Economy·NFP

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

$344k Vol.
$27k Liq.
21
Ends in 9 months

60%

5.0%

N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics · World

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$3.5m Vol.
$420k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

64%

Orbán - Hungary PM

W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Geopolitics·Trump

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$43k Vol.
$11k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days

22%

April 30

W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

Politics·Iran

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$537k Vol.
$16k Liq.
🔥$126k today
172

14%

Yes

N
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?

Tech·Elon Musk

Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?

$774 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

5%

Yes

F
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k Vol.
$126k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

76%

Pause–Pause–Pause

F
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$717k Vol.
$108k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

84%

Pause–Pause–Pause

W
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

Finance·SPX

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

$28k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

83%

↓ $6,200

F
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Economy·Economic Policy

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$406k Vol.
$103k Liq.
35
Ends in 27 days

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

W
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?

Finance·S&P 500

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?

$25k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

76%

↓ $6,300

H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Crypto·Airdrops

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

$437k Vol.
$5k Liq.
27

36%

Yes

S
SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

Politics·SCOTUS

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

$21k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

82%

Yes

W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Economy·Canada

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

$6k Vol.
$811 Liq.
2
Ends in 11 months

33%

Yes

W
Which banks will fail by June 30?

Finance·Business

Which banks will fail by June 30?

$358k Vol.
$95k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months

2%

Deutsche Bank

H
How many jobs added in March?

Economy·nonfarm payroll

How many jobs added in March?

$20k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours

40%

50k – 100k

W
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

Crypto·Yearly

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

$95k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

69%

↓ 0.0014