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Mahmoud Abbas Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

AllSportsPoliticsGazaStrikeAliensIranTrumpMiddle EastFedIsraelOilCricketShippingCultureTweet MarketsNuclearStrikesGeopoliticsGamesWorldRewards 10, 4.5, 50ShipFed ChairPakistan Super LeagueIran RegimeMilitary StrikesIran Offensive StrikesRegional SpilloverIran CeasefireU.S. X IranIsrael X IranKhamenei OutAraghchi
M
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

Geopolitics·Israel

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

$97k Vol.
$13k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

41%

December 31

N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics · World

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$3.4m Vol.
$392k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

60%

Orbán - Hungary PM

I
Iran leader end of 2026?

World·Middle East

Iran leader end of 2026?

$5.6m Vol.
$892k Liq.
🔥$53k today
71
Ends in 9 months

56%

Mojtaba Khamenei

A
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

Geopolitics·Araghchi

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

$9k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

12%

April 30

K
Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

Politics·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

$184 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

30%

5-9

W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

Politics·Iran

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$381k Vol.
$18k Liq.
71

10%

Isfahan nuclear facility

I
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Geopolitics·U.S. x Iran

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

$188k Vol.
$152k Liq.
1
Ends in 30 days

99%

Bahrain

I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Geopolitics·Iran Ceasefire

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

$29k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

38%

Leadership Change

W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

Geopolitics·Trump

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$97k Vol.
$45k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months

49%

US x Iran Ceasefire

K
Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Politics·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$20k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 days

86%

<20

M
Military action against Iran ends on...?

Politics·strike

Military action against Iran ends on...?

$44k Vol.
$157k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

63%

Military action through April 30

K
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Politics·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 7 days

33%

<5

I
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Geopolitics·Israel

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

$241k Vol.
$44k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days

23%

April 30

I
Iran military action against Israel on...?

Geopolitics·Military Strikes

Iran military action against Israel on...?

$6k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

90%

April 2

I
Iran military action against Israel on...?

Geopolitics·Israel x Iran

Iran military action against Israel on...?

$2.0m Vol.
$11k Liq.
🔥$65k today
2
Ended

99%

March 27

H
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

Geopolitics·shipping

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

$19k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

38%

<2

N
NYC Mayor # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

Politics·Tweet Markets

NYC Mayor # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

$257 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

59%

20-39

K
Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

Politics·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

$28k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours

99%

<20

P
Pakistan Super League: Islamabad United vs Quetta Gladiators

Sports · Games

Pakistan Super League: Islamabad United vs Quetta Gladiators

$79 Vol.
$56 Liq.
Ends in 9 days

44%

Islamabad United

I
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

Politics·Iran

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

$3.7m Vol.
$172k Liq.
🔥$62k today
1
Ended

98%

Bahrain