Mgiuelpf Predictions & Odds· 100 markets
Nothing Ever Happens: Ilhan Omar
$18k Vol.
$6k Liq.
4
Ends in about 5 hours
$18k Vol.$6k Liq.4Ends in about 5 hours
100%
Nothing
What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)
$7k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$7k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 5 days
77%
Happy Easter
45%
Yes
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
$38k Vol.
$18k Liq.
8
Ends in about 1 year
$38k Vol.$18k Liq.8Ends in about 1 year
12%
Yes
NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets
$28k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 days
$28k Vol.$1k Liq.4Ends in 7 days
35%
81+
Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?
$3k Vol.
$485 Liq.
2
Ends in about 5 hours
$3k Vol.$485 Liq.2Ends in about 5 hours
2%
Yes
60%
Democratic Party
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
42%
20 - 25 minutes
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$52k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$52k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 4 days
44%
160-179
Culture · Politics
Taliban blackmail of D.C. shooter confirmed by March 31?
$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 5 hours
$3k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in about 5 hours
1%
Yes
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?
$642k Vol.
$18k Liq.
321
Ends in about 5 hours
$642k Vol.$18k Liq.321Ends in about 5 hours
90%
April 30
White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$155k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours
$155k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 21 hours
73%
160-179
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$666k Vol.
$17k Liq.
9
Ends in about 1 year
$666k Vol.$17k Liq.9Ends in about 1 year
44%
1
90%
Republican Party
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
$19 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$19 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
73%
Go ahead 5+ times
91%
Democratic Party
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$9k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes
Insurrection Act invoked by...?
$1.0m Vol.
$44k Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months
$1.0m Vol.$44k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
33%
December 31
What will Trump say this week? (April 5)
$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$4k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 5 days
86%
Sunday
