Nato Predictions & Odds· 296 markets
3%
Yes
Russian strike on a NATO member by...?
$1.7m Vol.
$10k Liq.
24
Ends in about 7 hours
$1.7m Vol.$10k Liq.24Ends in about 7 hours
1%
Yes
7%
Yes
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
$82k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$82k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
December 31
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
$50k Vol.
$79k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$50k Vol.$79k Liq.Ends in 9 months
67%
Yes
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
$1.1m Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$1.1m Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
0%
Yes
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31?
$92k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$92k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
0%
Yes
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$143k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$143k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
21%
December 31
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
$153k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$153k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
$69k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$69k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
$15k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$15k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
Politics · Geopolitics
NATO Article 5 by March 31?
$39k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$39k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
1%
Yes
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
$1.1m Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1.1m Vol.$37k Liq.Ends in 9 months
4%
Yes
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
$10k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$10k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
17%
Yes
25%
Yes
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$100k Vol.
$16k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$16k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
$4k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$4k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes