Nato Predictions & Odds· 296 markets
4%
Yes
Russian strike on a NATO member by...?
$1.7m Vol.
$10k Liq.
25
Ends in about 6 hours
$1.7m Vol.$10k Liq.25Ends in about 6 hours
1%
Yes
8%
Yes
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
$82k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$82k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
December 31
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
$1.1m Vol.
$20k Liq.
1
Ends in about 6 hours
$1.1m Vol.$20k Liq.1Ends in about 6 hours
0%
Yes
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
$50k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$50k Vol.$56k Liq.Ends in 9 months
65%
Yes
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31?
$92k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$92k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
0%
Yes
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$120k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$120k Liq.32Ends in 9 months
20%
December 31
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
$153k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$153k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
$69k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$69k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
$15k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$15k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
Politics · Geopolitics
NATO Article 5 by March 31?
$39k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$39k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
1%
Yes
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
$1.1m Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1.1m Vol.$29k Liq.Ends in 9 months
4%
Yes
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
$10k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$10k Vol.$8k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
17%
Yes
27%
Yes
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$100k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$12k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
$4k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$4k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes