Natural Disaster Predictions & Odds· 119 markets
N
30%
Yes
5
42%
Yes
M
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
$38k Vol.
$20k Liq.
9
Ends in 12 months
$38k Vol.$20k Liq.9Ends in 12 months
11%
Yes
M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$140k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$140k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
M
Weather · earthquake
Megaquake by June 30?
$37k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$37k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 3 months
20%
Yes
N
Natural Disaster · Science
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
$330k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$330k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
39%
Yes
W
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
$12k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$12k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
8%
Yes
W
Will a hurricane form by May 31?
$36k Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in about 2 months
$36k Vol.$5k Liq.4Ends in about 2 months
7%
Yes
H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$677k Vol.
$16k Liq.
9
Ends in 12 months
$677k Vol.$16k Liq.9Ends in 12 months
45%
1
H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
$1.8m Vol.
$77k Liq.
23
Ends in 3 months
$1.8m Vol.$77k Liq.23Ends in 3 months
86%
8+
H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1.1m Vol.$36k Liq.Ends in 9 months
32%
14–16
H
How many Tornadoes in the US in March?
$185k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
$185k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 7 days
99%
150+
9
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$176k Vol.
$10k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$176k Vol.$10k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
H
Natural Disasters · Weather
How many Tornadoes in the US in April?
$848 Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$848 Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
42%
350+
1
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$530k Vol.
$29k Liq.
26
Ends in 9 months
$530k Vol.$29k Liq.26Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
A
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
$50 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$50 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 27 days
73%
April 30
W
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$315k Vol.
$7k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$315k Vol.$7k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
34%
Yes
H
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
$46k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$46k Vol.$11k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
54%
1250+
H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)
$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 3 months
56%
≤8
M
53%
Yes