Natural Disaster Predictions & Odds· 119 markets
30%
Yes
38%
Yes
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$139k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$139k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
$38k Vol.
$19k Liq.
8
Ends in about 1 year
$38k Vol.$19k Liq.8Ends in about 1 year
12%
Yes
earthquake · Natural Disaster
Megaquake by March 31?
$127k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$127k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
1%
Yes
Natural Disaster · Science
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
$327k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$327k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 2 months
41%
Yes
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
$11k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$11k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 2 months
7%
Yes
Weather · earthquake
Megaquake by June 30?
$23k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$23k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 3 months
22%
Yes
Will a hurricane form by May 31?
$36k Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in 2 months
$36k Vol.$5k Liq.4Ends in 2 months
6%
Yes
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$666k Vol.
$21k Liq.
9
Ends in about 1 year
$666k Vol.$21k Liq.9Ends in about 1 year
44%
1
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
$70k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$70k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in 2 months
100%
May 31
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$39k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$1.1m Vol.$39k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
28%
14–16
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
$1.8m Vol.
$128k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
$1.8m Vol.$128k Liq.22Ends in 3 months
68%
8+
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$171k Vol.
$8k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$171k Vol.$8k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$530k Vol.
$27k Liq.
26
Ends in 9 months
$530k Vol.$27k Liq.26Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
How many Tornadoes in the US in March?
$158k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$158k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 10 days
100%
150+
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$310k Vol.
$7k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$310k Vol.$7k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
39%
Yes
Natural Disasters · Weather
How many Tornadoes in the US in April?
$647 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$647 Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
40%
200–229
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
$26k Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in 10 months
$26k Vol.$16k Liq.1Ends in 10 months
42%
1250+
45%
Yes