Natural Disasters Predictions & Odds· 111 markets
N
30%
Yes
H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$677k Vol.
$16k Liq.
9
Ends in 12 months
$677k Vol.$16k Liq.9Ends in 12 months
45%
1
M
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
$38k Vol.
$18k Liq.
9
Ends in 12 months
$38k Vol.$18k Liq.9Ends in 12 months
11%
Yes
H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
$1.8m Vol.
$59k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
$1.8m Vol.$59k Liq.22Ends in 3 months
82%
8+
H
How many Tornadoes in the US in March?
$180k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$180k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 8 days
100%
150+
H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1.1m Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
14–16
9
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$174k Vol.
$7k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$174k Vol.$7k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes
W
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$315k Vol.
$5k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$315k Vol.$5k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
33%
Yes
1
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$530k Vol.
$27k Liq.
26
Ends in 9 months
$530k Vol.$27k Liq.26Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
H
Natural Disasters · Weather
How many Tornadoes in the US in April?
$747 Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$747 Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
47%
350+
H
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
$46k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$46k Vol.$11k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
53%
1250+
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$535k Vol.
$15k Liq.
🔥$131k today
160
$535k Vol.🔥$131k today$15k Liq.160
12%
Yes
M
51%
Yes
M
Weather · earthquake
Megaquake by June 30?
$37k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$37k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 3 months
24%
Yes
W
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?
$30k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 29 days
$30k Vol.$39k Liq.Ends in 29 days
88%
↑ $3.00
H
Earthquakes · Science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?
$109k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$109k Vol.$36k Liq.Ends in 3 days
66%
2
M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$140k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$140k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
W
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of March 30 2026?
$29k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$29k Vol.$57k Liq.Ends in 1 day
31%
↑ $3.10
1
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
$102k Vol.
$11k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$11k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
4%
Yes
5
37%
Yes