Natural Disasters Predictions & Odds· 112 markets
30%
Yes
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$666k Vol.
$18k Liq.
9
Ends in about 1 year
$666k Vol.$18k Liq.9Ends in about 1 year
44%
1
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
$38k Vol.
$19k Liq.
8
Ends in about 1 year
$38k Vol.$19k Liq.8Ends in about 1 year
12%
Yes
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
$71k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$71k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in 2 months
100%
May 31
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$26k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$1.1m Vol.$26k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
28%
14–16
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
$1.8m Vol.
$96k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
$1.8m Vol.$96k Liq.22Ends in 3 months
68%
8+
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$171k Vol.
$8k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$171k Vol.$8k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$530k Vol.
$30k Liq.
26
Ends in 9 months
$530k Vol.$30k Liq.26Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
How many Tornadoes in the US in March?
$158k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$158k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 10 days
100%
150+
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$310k Vol.
$5k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$310k Vol.$5k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
39%
Yes
Natural Disasters · Weather
How many Tornadoes in the US in April?
$647 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$647 Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
40%
200–229
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
$26k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in 10 months
$26k Vol.$12k Liq.1Ends in 10 months
41%
1250+
13%
Isfahan nuclear facility
46%
Yes
Weather · earthquake
Megaquake by June 30?
$23k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$23k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 3 months
21%
Yes
earthquake · Natural Disaster
Megaquake by March 31?
$128k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$128k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
1%
Yes
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?
$5 Vol.
$149 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$5 Vol.$149 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
70%
↑ $3.00
Earthquakes · Science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?
$44k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$44k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 5 days
51%
1
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$139k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$139k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of March 30 2026?
$0 Vol.
$63 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$0 Vol.$63 Liq.Ends in 4 days
51%
↑ $3.70