Nigel Farage Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

2
2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

54%

1800+

$7k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 21 days
W
Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

16%

Yes

$150 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 21 days
N
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

53%

No Next PM in 2026

$4.5m Vol.
$755k Liq.
42
Ends in 9 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

47%

40-59

$3k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts April 17 - April 24, 2026?

49%

40-59

$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?

59%

60-79

$8k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
U
UK election called by...?

Starmer · uk

UK election called by...?

3%

Yes

$742k Vol.
$2k Liq.
13
Ended
N
Nigel Farage out as Leader of Reform before March?

No

$28k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
W
Will Nigel Farage win election to UK parliament?

Yes

$326k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
W
Who will Trump talk to in February?

Mohammed bin Salman

$639k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
Next UK leader of the Conservatives?

Kemi Badenoch

$8.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
43
Ended
[
[Single Markets] Republican VP nominee?

Nikki Haley

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
#
# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

<125

$283k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
N
Next UK prime minister?

Keir Starmer

$2.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
#
# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (0-125)

100-124

$20k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Trump say during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?

Thousand / Million / Billion 12+ times

$1.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
103
Ended
W
What will Trump say at the UK state banquet on September 17?

King / Queen 4+ times

$216k Vol.
$0 Liq.
46
Ended
#
# of Farcaster users on Monday?

farcaster · unique users

# of Farcaster users on Monday?

>25k

$47k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Trump say during bilateral events with Mark Rutte?

Biden / Obama 6+ times

$183k Vol.
$0 Liq.
39
Ended
E
EU Election: Which party will win the most seats?

EPP

$30k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended