Nobel Peace Prize Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
$12.2m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
🔥$79k today
147
Ends in 6 months
$12.2m Vol.🔥$79k today$1.9m Liq.147Ends in 6 months
11%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$542k Vol.
$15k Liq.
🔥$121k today
174
$542k Vol.🔥$121k today$15k Liq.174
20%
Yes
M
48%
Yes
W
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
$243 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$243 Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 3 months
35%
Yes
W
What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)
$19k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
$19k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 2 days
94%
Terrorist
Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$15k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$15k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 1 day
55%
80-99
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$103k Vol.
$50k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$103k Vol.$50k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
54%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$911 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$911 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 5 days
37%
140-159
W
What will Trump say this week? (April 5)
$28k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
$28k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 2 days
35%
Delcy / Rodriguez
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
$602k Vol.
$37k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$602k Vol.$37k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
16%
↑ $3
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$77k Vol.
$22k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$77k Vol.$22k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
50%
Yes
G
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
$44k Vol.
$13k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$44k Vol.$13k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
57%
Yes
W
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
$369k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$369k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 4 months
67%
Hong Wang
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
N
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.5m Vol.
$410k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.5m Vol.$410k Liq.Ends in 9 months
64%
Orbán - Hungary PM
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.9m Vol.
$363k Liq.
🔥$396k today
Ends in 27 days
$1.9m Vol.🔥$396k today$363k Liq.Ends in 27 days
2%
Yes
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$228k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$228k Vol.$12k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes